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February 13, 2000

Boola, Boola: E-Commerce Comes to the Quad

By JACQUES STEINBERG with EDWARD WYATT

We always thought our new competition was going to be 'Microsoft University,"' the president of an elite Eastern university ruefully remarked to a visitor over dinner recently. "We were wrong. Our competition is our own faculty."

Welcome to the ivory tower in the dot.com age, where commerce and competition have set up shop.

Professors imagine a million students paying $10 each to hear their lectures.

Several years ago, educators and entrepreneurs began to see that millions of students and potential students might be reached, and tens of millions of dollars earned, using the Internet to provide a higher education. More than one-third of all colleges and universities in the United States already offer distance learning, as it is called; by 2002, four of every five are expected to do so.

Everyone, it seems, now recognizes that the 14 million or so students engaged in some form of higher education make up only a small part of a much larger market.

What if part-time students working toward a degree after work, Chinese executives interested in Western management techniques, European farmers studying advanced agronomy and American retirees with the time to retake a favorite but forgotten Shakespeare course -- paying customers all -- were just a modem away from class?



Alex Brandon for The New York Times
The classroom, basis of higher education and soon-to-be quaint relic.

It was and is an alluring prospect, but one thing the universities didn't envision was how their professors would react to it. Distance learning sells the knowledge inside a professor's head directly to a global online audience. That means that, just by doing what he does every day, a teacher potentially could grow rich instructing a class consisting of a million students signed up by the Internet-based educational firm that marketed the course and handles the payments.

"Faculty are dreaming of returns that are probably multiples of their lifetime net worth," said Kim Clark, dean of the Harvard Business School. "They are doing things like saying, 'This technology allows someone who is used to teaching 100 students to teach a million students.' And they are running numbers and imagining, 'Gee, what if everyone paid $10 to listen to my lecture?"'

Academics and their academies are already squaring off over who owns the electronic rights to a professor's lectures and research.

The most notable collision so far, as chronicled in The Wall Street Journal in November, involved Arthur Miller, a celebrated Harvard Law School professor and a pioneer legal analyst on television. Miller says Harvard never objected to his work on "Good Morning America" or elsewhere, but he was rebuked by his deans for videotaping a 10-hour lecture series last summer for Concord, an online law school founded by Kaplan, the well-known student preparatory company. Why the sudden change of heart? "I don't think it's undue cynicism to recognize that many of the old-format educational productions -- books, monographs, articles -- produce no or very little revenue," Miller said in an interview. "They were of no concern to the university."

Today they are of great concern, and Harvard is rewriting its policies on how professors may use course materials. So are a great many other schools, large and small. But in doing so they are exploring relatively uncharted legal waters.

Previously, the general rule was that a professor was free to write textbooks, even if based on his course work, and to keep all royalties. Patented research conducted on campus was a different matter, subject to various restrictions to which professors typically had to agree as a condition of employment.

The old contract no longer applies partly because of the number of new outlets for academic expertise created by the Internet -- which can distribute material as text, sound, moving image or a combination of the three. But powering the commercial growth of this new technology are the huge sums of money the Internet has attracted to distance education.

Andrew Rosenfield, for example, is the chief executive of Unext.com, a startup that plans to offer a full range of college courses over the Internet. Rosenfield estimates his company will spend nearly $100 million developing courses before it receives $1 of tuition. Unext is backed by Michael Milken, the former junk-bond king, who was convicted of securities law violations in 1990. The company has signed deals with Columbia, Stanford, Carnegie Mellon University, and the University of Chicago, promising them revenue from the course materials they develop, and granting them Unext shares.

Unext envisions a world where anyone can begin a course in, say, basic finance, at any time of the year, from any location. Indeed, to make a profit, the company will need to have thousands of people engaged in a particular course at a time, Rosenfield said. But he believes that the opportunity to take courses designed by elite schools will attract such numbers. Company projections suggest that, if he is correct, the University of Chicago could earn $20 million in royalties alone from the venture over the next five years. (Payment to participating professors has not yet been set.) No wonder, then, that Chicago's scholars must now seek the university's permission before they engage in similar efforts on their own.

Williams College, the prestigious liberal arts college in western Massachusetts, is reviewing another corporate offer. Global Education Network, a company founded partly by Herb Allen, the president of the venture-capital firm Allen & Co., has approached Williams and Brown University, among others, with an invitation to contribute course material to a proposed for-profit Web site providing on line liberal arts education for adults.

Officials at Williams have said that the venture could earn the institution upwards of $250,000 per year, per course, for up to 10 courses.

Harcourt General, which owns Harcourt Brace, a major textbook publishing company, is yet another firm entering the field. Harcourt announced last summer that it would create an independent, full-range, distance learning "university," offering college degrees in a variety of disciplines. And this spring, Kaplan will introduce KaplanCollege.com, which will offer degree and certificate programs in a number of fields including education, real estate, financial services, paralegal studies and nursing, in addition to law.

Obscured by all this entrepreneurial activity lies a still more fundamental issue: As distance learning enterprises start competing with colleges and universities for students, tuition and faculty, will they not also progressively marginalize "brick and mortar" institutions, perhaps even rendering them obsolete?

Elite institutions like Williams are the ones least likely to be displaced by technological innovation. But there are some 3,500 colleges and universities in the United States alone, and distance education will certainly make a portion of them redundant.

"The ones that really are going to get hurt by distance learning are the smaller, independent institutions located in rural areas," said James V. Koch, president of Old Dominion University, in Virginia. Those schools generally charge high tuition, and students will find it cheaper to take distance learning courses for at least part of their degree program.

Distance learning will also provide a simple credentialing function -- certifying that someone has acquired a certain skill, say, in computer programming or accounting, entirely bypassing traditional institutions of higher learning and trade schools.

"There still are going to be loads and loads of students who want the traditional experience -- the football team and the junior year abroad," Koch said. But will that traditional experience be recognizable if colleges and universities begin behaving like corporate profit centers?

The advent of distance learning has turned everyone, from trumpet teachers to professors of Japanese and statistics, into potential entrepreneurs. And like relatives sharing a winning lottery ticket, professors and their schools are elbowing each other in pursuit of the same pot of gold. "This set of technologies, and the opportunities it presents, create potential conflicts of commitment -- of the faculty's commitment to the university, and of the university's commitment to the faculty and to its core mission," said Clark of Harvard.

"If the institutions and the faculty don't reaffirm those commitments," he added, "the forces will actually tear places apart."



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